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BetBoom Streamers Battle 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nix Teamwin 2:1
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Stray Teamloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nix Team

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Nix · 2 games
0%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
ct0m · 2 games
50%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
bowbowbow · 1 game
100%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter
alagon · 1 game
100%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
bowbowbow · 1 game
100%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
bowbowbow · 1 game
0%
Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
xannii · 1 game
0%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
ct0m · 1 game
100%

Stray Team

Tusk
Tusk
Goodoq · 3 games
67%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
DkFogas · 3 games
33%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
zvёzd · 2 games
0%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
DkFogas · 2 games
0%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Retsu · 2 games
50%
Night Stalker
Night Stalker
DkFogas · 2 games
50%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
Stray · 2 games
0%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Stray · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
539 picks · 329 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
473 picks · 575 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
431 picks · 229 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
423 picks · 353 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
353 picks · 482 bans
48%
Jakiro
Jakiro
339 picks · 231 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
321 picks · 847 bans
51%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
314 picks · 821 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Nix Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Nix Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:38
Nix Team 63%Stray Team 37%
The model gave 63% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 45:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Viper
ViperNix
44% · 60 games58% · 174 games
Nature's Prophetzvёzd
Nature's Prophet
Morphling
MorphlingCooman
46% · 68 games49% · 300 games
Centaur WarrunnerDkFogas
Centaur Warrunner
Slardar
Slardarbowbowbow
53% · 164 games54% · 47 games
Death ProphetStray
Death Prophet
Tusk
Tuskalagon
44% · 292 games54% · 61 game
GrimstrokeVovapain
Grimstroke
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidenct0m
50% · 21 game45% · 23 games
Witch Doctorbalod9l
Witch Doctor
Game 2prediction correct47:32
Nix Team 63%Stray Team 37%
The model gave 63% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Nix Team in 45:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainNix
50% · 118 games54% · 35 games
Drow Rangerzvёzd
Drow Ranger
Alchemist
AlchemistCooman
56% · 63 games34% · 19 games
ZeusStray
Zeus
Underlord
Underlordbowbowbow
53% · 87 games57% · 85 games
LargoDkFogas
Largo
Dark Willow
Dark Willowalagon
44% · 91 game42% · 173 games
RubickVovapain
Rubick
Lich
Lichct0m
56% · 54 games52% · 101 game
Clockwerkbalod9l
Clockwerk
Game 3prediction correct27:17
Nix Team 63%Stray Team 37%
The model gave 63% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Nix Team in 34:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterCooman
50% · 130 games50% · 6 games
Phantom Lancerzvёzd
Phantom Lancer
Huskar
HuskarNix
47% · 44 games45% · 165 games
DawnbreakerDkFogas
Dawnbreaker
Axe
Axebowbowbow
48% · 136 games50% · 124 games
BrewmasterStray
Brewmaster
Pugna
Pugnaalagon
59% · 86 games53% · 16 games
Winter WyvernVovapain
Winter Wyvern
Jakiro
Jakiroct0m
47% · 261 game54% · 346 games
Shadow Shamanbalod9l
Shadow Shaman
Model check result
Model favoriteNix Team · 75%
Series resultNix Team 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3