BetBoom Streamers Battle 4 · BO5
result vs prediction
Nix Teamwin 3:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 3:1
YBN Teamloss 1:3The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nix Team
No games played over 6 months.
YBN Team
Disruptor
dabex · 8 games
Hoodwinksignature
KingR · 6 games
Beastmasteroften banned
XaKoH · 4 games
Ursa
Dinozavrik · 4 games
Zeusoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 4 games
Abaddon
Dinozavrik · 3 games
Crystal Maiden
dabex · 3 games
Dragon Knight
XaKoH · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
292 picks · 142 bans
Pangolier
205 picks · 411 bans
Ember Spirit
197 picks · 262 bans
Beastmaster
184 picks · 380 bans
Dark Seer
181 picks · 340 bans
Vengeful Spirit
177 picks · 254 bans
Skywrath Mage
176 picks · 106 bans
Sven
171 picks · 240 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 70%
Hero pool strength54% Nix Team
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total50% Nix Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:17
Nix Team 50%YBN Team 50%
The model gave 50% on Nix Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 31:48.
Game 2prediction correct41:44
Nix Team 50%YBN Team 50%
The model gave 50% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Nix Team in 56:13.
Game 3prediction correct51:36
Nix Team 50%YBN Team 50%
The model gave 50% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Nix Team in 44:36.
Game 4prediction correct16:27
Nix Team 50%YBN Team 50%
The model gave 50% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Nix Team in 36:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteNix Team · 50%
Series resultNix Team 3:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 4