BetBoom Streamers Battle 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nix Teamwin 2:0series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
YBN Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nix Team
Baneoften banned
Lukawa · 1 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
xannii · 1 game
Rubick
Nix · 1 game
Techies
alagon · 1 game
Timbersawoften banned
bowbowbow · 1 game
YBN Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
432 picks · 362 bans
Hoodwink
418 picks · 458 bans
Weaver
392 picks · 836 bans
Tiny
383 picks · 864 bans
Phoenix
367 picks · 764 bans
Pangolier
358 picks · 531 bans
Clockwerk
337 picks · 511 bans
Ember Spirit
314 picks · 604 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)82% vs 55%
Hero pool strength57% Nix Team
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total75% Nix Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:14
Nix Team 75%YBN Team 25%
The model gave 75% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Nix Team in 25:45.
Game 2prediction correct24:65
Nix Team 75%YBN Team 25%
The model gave 75% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Nix Team in 32:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteNix Team · 75%
Series resultNix Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2