?
arrow_backBack to match
Snow Sweet Snow #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
No Bounty Hunterloss 0:2
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
ViKin.ggwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

No Bounty Hunter

Rubick
Rubicksignature
ntakii · 15 games
60%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
dEsire · 13 games
62%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Flash · 10 games
70%
Puck
Puckoften banned
ntakii · 10 games
50%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekersignature
BliNcc · 7 games
71%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
BliNcc · 7 games
71%
Batrider
Batridersignature
ntakii · 6 games
67%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
ntakii · 6 games
67%

ViKin.gg

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 9 games
78%
Puck
Puckoften banned
BOOM · 9 games
56%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
Aramis · 8 games
75%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Seleri · 8 games
63%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
KheZu · 7 games
57%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Aramis · 7 games
14%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
BOOM · 7 games
57%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Aramis · 6 games
83%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
334 picks · 676 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
317 picks · 391 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
266 picks · 465 bans
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
246 picks · 208 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
217 picks · 119 bans
51%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
216 picks · 323 bans
56%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
212 picks · 635 bans
60%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
211 picks · 425 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 58%
Hero pool strength51% ViKin.gg
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% ViKin.gg
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct4:25
No Bounty Hunter 45%ViKin.gg 55%
The model gave 55% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 19:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingkAAN
46% · 68 games57% · 37 games
LycanShad
Lycan
Puck
Puckntakii
42% · 165 games55% · 131 game
Void SpiritBOOM
Void Spirit
Viper
ViperBliNcc
47% · 27 games48% · 52 games
TidehunterKheZu
Tidehunter
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterNARMAN
34% · 14 games62% · 65 games
EarthshakerAramis
Earthshaker
Death Prophet
Death ProphetFlash
42% · 87 games61% · 76 games
Keeper of the LightSeleri
Keeper of the Light
Game 2prediction correct13:34
No Bounty Hunter 50%ViKin.gg 50%
The model gave 50% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 25:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackkAAN
56% · 10 games52% · 56 games
Troll WarlordShad
Troll Warlord
Puck
Puckntakii
49% · 97 games55% · 39 games
Dragon KnightBOOM
Dragon Knight
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld DestroyerBliNcc
36% · 14 games47% · 24 games
ViperKheZu
Viper
Rubick
RubickNARMAN
53% · 42 games48% · 34 games
LionAramis
Lion
Io
IoFlash
55% · 17 games46% · 27 games
TuskSeleri
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteViKin.gg · 52%
Series resultViKin.gg 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2