EPL Masters I · BO3
result vs predictionNHNo Hoodwinkwin 1:0
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:0
KKWloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
No Hoodwink
Dark Willow
Katari_ · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
re1bl · 1 game
Lone Druidoften banned
rubikon155 · 1 game
Lycanoften banned
Infernal · 1 game
Mirana
asdekor_r · 1 game
KW
Clockwerkoften banned
monodrama · 5 games
Hoodwink
lupsione · 4 games
Luna
Retsu · 2 games
Kezoften banned
Retsu · 1 game
Lina
Retsu · 1 game
Lone Druidoften banned
Retsu · 1 game
Mirana
lupsione · 1 game
Necrophosoften banned
Retsu · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
493 picks · 355 bans
Rubick
380 picks · 224 bans
Clockwerk
348 picks · 640 bans
Tiny
336 picks · 341 bans
Windranger
316 picks · 228 bans
Bane
304 picks · 294 bans
Pangolier
291 picks · 396 bans
Storm Spirit
289 picks · 322 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 36%
Hero pool strength66% No Hoodwink
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% No Hoodwink
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
No Hoodwink 52%KW 48%
The model gave 52% on No Hoodwink — the game was taken by No Hoodwink.
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Hoodwink · 52%
Series resultNo Hoodwink 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1