Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 10 · BO3
result vs predictionNMNo Monkey Businessloss 0:2
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Rune Eaterswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
No Monkey Business
Hoodwink
illusion · 10 games
Razorsignature
xannii · 10 games
Kunkkasignature
xannii · 9 games
Dragon Knightsignature
meLes · 8 games
Invokeroften banned
Egor · 7 games
Pangolieroften banned
MieRo · 7 games
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 6 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Egor · 6 games
Rune Eaters
Marsoften banned
Cloud · 6 games
Tinysignature
TA2000 · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
ArrOw · 5 games
Mirana
ArrOw · 5 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
hAze · 5 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
453 picks · 274 bans
Mars
432 picks · 580 bans
Tiny
395 picks · 464 bans
Death Prophet
348 picks · 748 bans
Sand King
337 picks · 462 bans
Ember Spirit
321 picks · 481 bans
Storm Spirit
295 picks · 429 bans
Pangolier
291 picks · 434 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 56%
Hero pool strength52% No Monkey Business
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total64% Rune Eaters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:31
No Monkey Business 36%Rune Eaters 64%
The model gave 64% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 32:21.
Game 2prediction correct18:37
No Monkey Business 36%Rune Eaters 64%
The model gave 64% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 47:40.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 64%
Series resultRune Eaters 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2