Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
No Sorrywin 2:1series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:1
X3loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
No Sorry
Tinyoften banned
layme · 22 games
Hoodwink
y0nd · 21 game
Bane
BLACKARXANGEL · 20 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 18 games
Skywrath Mage
y0nd · 18 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 17 games
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 17 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Worick · 15 games
X3
Bane
Kidaro · 21 game
Dragon Knightsignature
Mastery · 10 games
Hoodwink
velheor · 10 games
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
NattyNarwhal · 8 games
Phantom Lanceroften banned
DarkLord^ · 8 games
Enchantressoften banned
Kidaro · 7 games
Linaoften banned
NattyNarwhal · 7 games
Puckoften banned
NattyNarwhal · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
472 picks · 633 bans
Bane
452 picks · 286 bans
Tiny
441 picks · 492 bans
Sand King
399 picks · 530 bans
Death Prophet
360 picks · 790 bans
Storm Spirit
346 picks · 546 bans
Ember Spirit
342 picks · 553 bans
Pangolier
332 picks · 508 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 52%
Hero pool strength51% No Sorry
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total59% No Sorry
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Sorry · 59%
Series resultNo Sorry 2:1
Series predictioncorrect