BTS Pro Series Season 8. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
NoPing VPNwin 2:0series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:0
FJFúria Jovemloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NoPing VPN
Gyrocoptersignature
Accel · 31 game
Tinysignature
DarkMago · 24 games
Marssignature
Oscar · 23 games
Timbersawsignature
Oscar · 23 games
Abaddonoften banned
Panda · 21 game
Hoodwink
Matthew · 18 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Oscar · 18 games
Miranasignature
Michael · 16 games
Fúria Jovem
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
RdO · 4 games
Leshracoften banned
Sooths · 4 games
Mirana
Kingrd · 4 games
Abaddonoften banned
Duster · 3 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Duster · 3 games
Windranger
Sooths · 3 games
Winter Wyvernoften banned
Duster · 3 games
Axeoften banned
Mandy · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
364 picks · 175 bans
Hoodwink
332 picks · 121 bans
Lina
271 picks · 494 bans
Mars
255 picks · 425 bans
Luna
252 picks · 342 bans
Pangolier
249 picks · 329 bans
Nyx Assassin
246 picks · 517 bans
Terrorblade
234 picks · 484 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 30%
Hero pool strength53% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total82% NoPing VPN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:9
NoPing VPN 69%Fúria Jovem 31%
The model gave 69% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 24:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TinyPakazs
LunaMandy
Ember SpiritDarkMago
SnapfireHyko
MarsOscar
IoDuster
Miranasl4d1n-
BanePanda
Model check result
Model favoriteNoPing VPN · 82%
Series resultNoPing VPN 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1