Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Южная Америка 1-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
NoPing VPNwin 2:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SG e-sportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NoPing VPN
Earth Spirit
Michael · 9 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
Matthew · 8 games
Timbersawsignature
Oscar · 8 games
Kunkkaoften banned
DarkMago · 7 games
Marssignature
Oscar · 7 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Matthew · 6 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Mariano · 6 games
Witch Doctor
Accel · 6 games
SG e-sports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
435 picks · 955 bans
Void Spirit
412 picks · 583 bans
Death Prophet
362 picks · 672 bans
Mars
335 picks · 591 bans
Earth Spirit
308 picks · 279 bans
Tusk
271 picks · 180 bans
Phoenix
262 picks · 379 bans
Grimstroke
257 picks · 224 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 40%
Hero pool strength60% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total61% NoPing VPN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoPing VPN · 61%
Series resultNoPing VPN 2:0
Series predictioncorrect