BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
nounswin 2:0series probability
93%7%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Gods of Hellloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
nouns
Crystal Maiden
Fly · 28 games
Pangoliersignature
Copy · 21 game
Tinysignature
Copy · 20 games
Rubick
Lelis · 19 games
Windrangeroften banned
Lelis · 19 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Yuma · 18 games
Phoenixoften banned
Fly · 18 games
Miranasignature
Fly · 17 games
Gods of Hell
Windrangeroften banned
N1NE · 2 games
Clockwerkoften banned
N1NE · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
CarJua · 1 game
Hoodwinkoften banned
N1NE · 1 game
Juggernaut
CarJua · 1 game
Troll Warlordoften banned
CarJua · 1 game
Ursaoften banned
CarJua · 1 game
Vengeful Spiritoften banned
N1NE · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
358 picks · 349 bans
Hoodwink
356 picks · 406 bans
Jakiro
346 picks · 258 bans
Pangolier
319 picks · 507 bans
Sven
295 picks · 305 bans
Snapfire
286 picks · 257 bans
Windranger
275 picks · 372 bans
Dragon Knight
269 picks · 460 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% nouns
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total93% nouns
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:4
nouns 80%Gods of Hell 20%
The model gave 80% on nouns — the game was taken by nouns in 20:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LunaYuma
AlchemistbsK7-
VisageGunnar
SniperÑengoflow KELOKE
Earth SpiritCopy
JakiroAccel
Shadow DemonLelis
ClockwerkFly
Game 2prediction correct37:7
nouns 79%Gods of Hell 21%
The model gave 79% on nouns — the game was taken by nouns in 29:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TerrorbladeYuma
UrsabsK7-
Monkey KingCopy
InvokerÑengoflow KELOKE
MarsGunnar
ClockwerkAccel
RubickLelis
TuskFly
Model check result
Model favoritenouns · 93%
Series resultnouns 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2