BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
nounsloss 1:1series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Hokoriloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
nouns
Dragon Knightoften banned
Moo · 2 games
Enchantressoften banned
ZfreeK · 2 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Gunnar · 2 games
Pugnaoften banned
ZfreeK · 2 games
Bane
Husky · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
Moo · 1 game
Chenoften banned
ZfreeK · 1 game
Clockwerk
Husky · 1 game
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
455 picks · 280 bans
Mars
449 picks · 614 bans
Tiny
413 picks · 480 bans
Sand King
381 picks · 499 bans
Death Prophet
363 picks · 781 bans
Ember Spirit
343 picks · 528 bans
Storm Spirit
323 picks · 500 bans
Pangolier
320 picks · 472 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 44%
Hero pool strength50% nouns
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% nouns
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritenouns · 55%