BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
nounswin 2:0series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Infamousloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
nouns
No games played over 6 months.
Infamous
Miranasignature
Pamplona · 6 games
Bane
Prada · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Mariano · 5 games
Ogre Magi
Prada · 5 games
Snapfire
Pamplona · 5 games
Tusk
Pamplona · 5 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
PiPi · 4 games
Gyrocopter
Parker · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
454 picks · 274 bans
Mars
432 picks · 587 bans
Tiny
401 picks · 467 bans
Death Prophet
348 picks · 757 bans
Sand King
345 picks · 465 bans
Ember Spirit
322 picks · 487 bans
Storm Spirit
300 picks · 435 bans
Pangolier
292 picks · 438 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 48%
Hero pool strength60% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:6
nouns 29%Infamous 71%
The model gave 71% on Infamous — the game was taken by nouns in 37:57.
Game 2prediction missed28:9
nouns 29%Infamous 71%
The model gave 71% on Infamous — the game was taken by nouns in 37:06.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 71%
Series resultnouns 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2