BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
nounsloss 0:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Infinity Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
nouns
Bane
Husky · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
Moo · 1 game
Enchantressoften banned
ZfreeK · 1 game
Hoodwink
ZfreeK · 1 game
Medusaoften banned
Costabile · 1 game
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Costabile · 1 game
Night Stalkeroften banned
Moo · 1 game
Pugnaoften banned
Husky · 1 game
Infinity Esports
Marssignature
Valquiria · 14 games
Weaveroften banned
Jupiter · 13 games
Invokeroften banned
mini-` · 11 games
Snapfire
Jupiter · 10 games
Treant Protector
Nuages · 9 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
mini-` · 8 games
Bane
Nuages · 7 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Benny · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
456 picks · 274 bans
Mars
435 picks · 591 bans
Tiny
403 picks · 469 bans
Sand King
353 picks · 473 bans
Death Prophet
350 picks · 763 bans
Ember Spirit
326 picks · 494 bans
Storm Spirit
307 picks · 444 bans
Pangolier
296 picks · 442 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 43%
Hero pool strength60% nouns
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% nouns
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:40
nouns 53%Infinity Esports 47%
The model gave 53% on nouns — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 39:43.
Game 2prediction missed7:21
nouns 53%Infinity Esports 47%
The model gave 53% on nouns — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 26:05.
Model check result
Model favoritenouns · 53%
Series resultInfinity Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2