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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
nounsloss 1:1
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Spiritloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

nouns

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Fly · 24 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Lelis · 24 games
63%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Lelis · 22 games
68%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Gunnar · 22 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Fly · 21 game
57%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Copy · 21 game
71%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Copy · 19 games
63%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Lelis · 19 games
47%

Team Spirit

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Larl · 26 games
58%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Miposhka · 23 games
83%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 20 games
70%
Mars
Marssignature
Collapse · 19 games
63%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Miposhka · 18 games
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 17 games
82%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Miposhka · 16 games
69%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Mira · 16 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
Pangolier
337 picks · 454 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
324 picks · 233 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
318 picks · 271 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
308 picks · 421 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
303 picks · 548 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
287 picks · 461 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
270 picks · 388 bans
53%
Jakiro
Jakiro
258 picks · 224 bans
43%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 68%
Hero pool strength54% Team Spirit
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total59% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:23
nouns 42%Team Spirit 58%
The model gave 58% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 47:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-Mage
Anti-MageYuma
56% · 40 games45% · 63 games
MedusaSatanic
Medusa
Beastmaster
BeastmasterGunnar
48% · 111 games57% · 77 games
Storm SpiritLarl
Storm Spirit
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritCopy
42% · 66 games47% · 19 games
Night StalkerMalik
Night Stalker
Chen
ChenFly
54% · 68 games50% · 107 games
Dark Willowrue
Dark Willow
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageLelis
43% · 29 games55% · 48 games
Elder TitanMiposhka
Elder Titan
Game 2prediction missed42:18
nouns 46%Team Spirit 54%
The model gave 54% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by nouns in 44:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Meepo
MeepoYuma
44% · 50 games49% · 200 games
MorphlingSatanic
Morphling
Monkey King
Monkey KingCopy
56% · 159 games52% · 182 games
MarsMalik
Mars
Pangolier
PangolierGunnar
46% · 459 games49% · 192 games
PuckLarl
Puck
Lich
LichFly
53% · 25 games52% · 198 games
EnchantressMiposhka
Enchantress
Tusk
TuskLelis
47% · 290 games52% · 211 games
Clockwerkrue
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 59%
Accuracy by game1 of 2