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BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
nounswin 2:0
series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The Cutloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

nouns

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Moo · 2 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
ZfreeK · 2 games
100%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Gunnar · 2 games
0%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
ZfreeK · 2 games
50%
Bane
Bane
Husky · 1 game
100%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Moo · 1 game
100%
Chen
Chenoften banned
ZfreeK · 1 game
0%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Husky · 1 game
0%

The Cut

Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 11 games
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Giant · 9 games
44%
Techies
Techies
bgod · 9 games
44%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 8 games
50%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 8 games
50%
Mars
Marssignature
dnm · 7 games
100%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 7 games
57%
Bane
Bane
Overlom · 6 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
457 picks · 281 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
449 picks · 611 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
410 picks · 478 bans
51%
Sand King
Sand King
372 picks · 495 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
363 picks · 780 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
341 picks · 516 bans
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
322 picks · 494 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
318 picks · 468 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 22%
Hero pool strength50% The Cut
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% nouns
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritenouns · 71%
Series resultnouns 2:0
Series predictioncorrect