BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
nouns
Dragon Knightoften banned
Moo · 2 games
Enchantressoften banned
ZfreeK · 2 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Gunnar · 2 games
Pugnaoften banned
ZfreeK · 2 games
Bane
Husky · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
Moo · 1 game
Chenoften banned
ZfreeK · 1 game
Clockwerk
Husky · 1 game
The Cut
Bristlebackoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 11 games
Snapfire
Giant · 9 games
Techies
bgod · 9 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 8 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 8 games
Marssignature
dnm · 7 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 7 games
Bane
Overlom · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
457 picks · 281 bans
Mars
449 picks · 611 bans
Tiny
410 picks · 478 bans
Sand King
372 picks · 495 bans
Death Prophet
363 picks · 780 bans
Ember Spirit
341 picks · 516 bans
Storm Spirit
322 picks · 494 bans
Pangolier
318 picks · 468 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 22%
Hero pool strength50% The Cut
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% nouns
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritenouns · 71%
Series resultnouns 2:0
Series predictioncorrect