BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
nounsloss 1:1series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Wildcard Gamingloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
nouns
Pugnaoften banned
ZfreeK · 2 games
Bane
Husky · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
Moo · 1 game
Chenoften banned
ZfreeK · 1 game
Dragon Knightoften banned
Moo · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
Gunnar · 1 game
Enchantressoften banned
ZfreeK · 1 game
Hoodwink
ZfreeK · 1 game
Wildcard Gaming
Marssignature
Sunlight · 8 games
Hoodwink
The Warden · 7 games
Lunasignature
DaaD- · 6 games
Queen of Painsignature
iAnnihilate · 6 games
Storm Spiritsignature
iAnnihilate · 6 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Sunlight · 5 games
Grimstroke
The Warden · 5 games
Medusaoften banned
Ark · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
456 picks · 280 bans
Mars
439 picks · 603 bans
Tiny
407 picks · 472 bans
Sand King
365 picks · 484 bans
Death Prophet
357 picks · 769 bans
Ember Spirit
337 picks · 509 bans
Storm Spirit
316 picks · 475 bans
Pangolier
309 picks · 455 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 50%
Hero pool strength58% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% nouns
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:37
nouns 51%Wildcard Gaming 49%
The model gave 51% on nouns — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 31:59.
Game 2prediction correct47:7
nouns 51%Wildcard Gaming 49%
The model gave 51% on nouns — the game was taken by nouns in 30:32.
Model check result
Model favoritenouns · 51%
Accuracy by game1 of 2