BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
nounswin 2:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Wildcard Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
nouns
Dragon Knightoften banned
Gunnar · 4 games
Crystal Maiden
Husky · 3 games
Enchantressoften banned
Husky · 3 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Gunnar · 3 games
Enigmaoften banned
ZfreeK · 2 games
Marsoften banned
Moo · 2 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Costabile · 2 games
Pugnaoften banned
ZfreeK · 2 games
Wildcard Gaming
Marsoften banned
Sunlight · 9 games
Hoodwink
The Warden · 7 games
Grimstrokesignature
The Warden · 6 games
Lunasignature
DaaD- · 6 games
Queen of Painsignature
iAnnihilate · 6 games
Storm Spiritsignature
iAnnihilate · 6 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Ark · 5 games
Medusaoften banned
Ark · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
465 picks · 640 bans
Tiny
458 picks · 495 bans
Bane
437 picks · 266 bans
Sand King
425 picks · 561 bans
Dragon Knight
366 picks · 422 bans
Storm Spirit
362 picks · 609 bans
Pangolier
352 picks · 536 bans
Death Prophet
340 picks · 804 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 59%
Hero pool strength51% nouns
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% nouns
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:29
nouns 54%Wildcard Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on nouns — the game was taken by nouns in 42:34.
Game 2prediction correct42:22
nouns 54%Wildcard Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on nouns — the game was taken by nouns in 41:27.
Model check result
Model favoritenouns · 54%
Series resultnouns 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2