Star Series #3 · BO3
result vs prediction
NS Clubloss 1:2series probability
19%81%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Ramzes Clubwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NS Club
No games played over 6 months.
Ramzes Club
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
558 picks · 343 bans
Phoenix
477 picks · 567 bans
Rubick
451 picks · 235 bans
Tiny
430 picks · 358 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 515 bans
Puck
324 picks · 854 bans
Beastmaster
316 picks · 799 bans
Jakiro
310 picks · 209 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% NS Club
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% Ramzes Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
NS Club 19%Ramzes Club 81%
The model gave 81% on Ramzes Club — the game was taken by Ramzes Club.
Game 2prediction missed
NS Club 19%Ramzes Club 81%
The model gave 81% on Ramzes Club — the game was taken by NS Club.
Game 3prediction correct
NS Club 19%Ramzes Club 81%
The model gave 81% on Ramzes Club — the game was taken by Ramzes Club.
Model check result
Model favoriteRamzes Club · 81%
Series resultRamzes Club 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3