BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
OGwin 1:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Execrationloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
OG
Jakiro
Kidaro · 29 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Daze · 25 games
Timbersawoften banned
MikSa` · 23 games
Puckoften banned
Stojkov · 22 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Shad · 22 games
Snapfire
Daze · 20 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Stojkov · 20 games
Pugnaoften banned
Lelis · 19 games
Execration
Snapfiresignature
Shanks · 27 games
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 21 game
Witch Doctor
cml · 17 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Palos · 16 games
Tusksignature
Shanks · 16 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Palos · 15 games
Puckoften banned
Bob · 14 games
Bounty Huntersignature
Shanks · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
775 picks · 354 bans
Disruptor
585 picks · 598 bans
Hoodwink
559 picks · 299 bans
Dragon Knight
459 picks · 537 bans
Tusk
458 picks · 276 bans
Jakiro
454 picks · 280 bans
Mars
449 picks · 736 bans
Puck
430 picks · 1126 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Execration
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:18
OG 64%Execration 36%
The model gave 64% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 48:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
GyrocopterNatsumi
TerrorbladePalos
Ember SpiritYopaj
MarsTino-
BristlebackForce
Void SpiritBob
MuertaTims
WindrangerShanks
Naga SirenSkem
Jakirocml
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 74%
Series resultOG 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1