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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
OGwin 2:0
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Mars
Marsoften banned
ATF · 17 games
41%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Taiga · 17 games
53%
Bane
Bane
Misha · 12 games
58%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
bzm · 12 games
42%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Yuragi · 11 games
82%
Razor
Razorsignature
Yuragi · 10 games
60%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Misha · 10 games
60%
Clinkz
Clinkz
SumaiL · 9 games
56%

Gaimin Gladiators

Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Ace · 18 games
78%
Bane
Banesignature
tOfu · 17 games
65%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 17 games
71%
Weaver
Weaversignature
tOfu · 16 games
69%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Seleri · 15 games
67%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
BOOM · 11 games
73%
Io
Iosignature
Seleri · 11 games
82%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
dyrachyo · 11 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
473 picks · 279 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
403 picks · 547 bans
56%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
354 picks · 500 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
352 picks · 458 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
313 picks · 522 bans
55%
Kunkka
Kunkka
284 picks · 519 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
273 picks · 365 bans
51%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
268 picks · 191 bans
43%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 69%
Hero pool strength58% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total65% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:9
OG 39%Gaimin Gladiators 61%
The model gave 61% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by OG in 29:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerYuragi
53% · 88 games45% · 37 games
Chaos Knightdyrachyo
Chaos Knight
Underlord
UnderlordATF
37% · 59 games54% · 126 games
Ember SpiritBOOM
Ember Spirit
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightbzm
57% · 141 game55% · 255 games
MarsAce
Mars
Hoodwink
HoodwinkTaiga
48% · 178 gameslittle data
TechiestOfu
Techies
Lich
LichMisha
46% · 18 games46% · 66 games
IoSeleri
Io
Game 2prediction missed35:10
OG 40%Gaimin Gladiators 60%
The model gave 60% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by OG in 26:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinbzm
53% · 185 games49% · 164 games
Wraith Kingdyrachyo
Wraith King
Kunkka
KunkkaYuragi
51% · 203 games49% · 176 games
Storm SpiritBOOM
Storm Spirit
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightATF
53% · 131 game49% · 177 games
PangolierAce
Pangolier
Hoodwink
HoodwinkTaiga
47% · 132 games52% · 28 games
Vengeful SpirittOfu
Vengeful Spirit
Lich
LichMisha
56% · 17 games46% · 123 games
IoSeleri
Io
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 65%
Series resultOG 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2