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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
OGwin 2:0
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
nounsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Ari · 11 games
73%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Ari · 11 games
55%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Yuragi · 10 games
60%
Io
Iosignature
Ceb · 10 games
70%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 8 games
63%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
bzm · 8 games
75%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
bzm · 8 games
50%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
bzm · 7 games
43%

nouns

Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Fly · 17 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Fly · 16 games
63%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Stormstormer · 13 games
69%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
YamSun · 13 games
46%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Stormstormer · 12 games
75%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Gunnar · 11 games
55%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Yuma · 11 games
82%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Gunnar · 10 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
363 picks · 559 bans
56%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
321 picks · 250 bans
52%
Lion
Lion
319 picks · 277 bans
53%
Phoenix
Phoenix
315 picks · 458 bans
49%
Magnus
Magnus
280 picks · 447 bans
56%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
277 picks · 775 bans
54%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
275 picks · 459 bans
52%
Faceless Void
Faceless Void
273 picks · 664 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 62%
Hero pool strength54% nouns
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total60% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:12
OG 54%nouns 46%
The model gave 54% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 34:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidYuragi
51% · 211 games56% · 245 games
TerrorbladeYuma
Terrorblade
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritbzm
54% · 323 games42% · 187 games
MarsGunnar
Mars
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightWisper
42% · 117 games53% · 471 game
PangolierStormstormer
Pangolier
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeAri
49% · 165 games53% · 100 games
GyrocopterLelis
Gyrocopter
Rubick
RubickCeb
47% · 398 games53% · 211 games
Vengeful SpiritFly
Vengeful Spirit
Game 2prediction correct31:6
OG 56%nouns 44%
The model gave 56% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 27:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
RazorWisper
50% · 68 games48% · 89 games
UrsaYuma
Ursa
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightYuragi
55% · 153 games49% · 206 games
Primal BeastGunnar
Primal Beast
Pangolier
Pangolierbzm
54% · 341 game51% · 136 games
Death ProphetStormstormer
Death Prophet
Marci
MarciAri
37% · 98 games49% · 219 games
EnchantressFly
Enchantress
Io
IoCeb
57% · 85 games51% · 95 games
GrimstrokeLelis
Grimstroke
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 60%
Series resultOG 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2