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RES Regional Champions: Belgrade · BO3
result vs prediction
OGloss 0:2
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Ari · 25 games
52%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Ari · 22 games
59%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Kaori · 21 game
67%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Wisper · 17 games
71%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Wisper · 16 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
bzm · 15 games
73%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
bzm · 15 games
67%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Nine · 15 games
60%

PARIVISION

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
9Class · 3 games
100%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 2 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 2 games
100%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
DM · 2 games
0%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Dukalis · 2 games
100%
Lich
Lich
Dukalis · 2 games
50%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Crystallis · 2 games
100%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Crystallis · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
354 picks · 311 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
344 picks · 478 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
336 picks · 462 bans
52%
Snapfire
Snapfire
324 picks · 209 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
317 picks · 593 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
282 picks · 458 bans
47%
Luna
Luna
266 picks · 330 bans
57%
Windranger
Windranger
263 picks · 365 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 57%
Hero pool strength51% OG
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct48:44
OG 46%PARIVISION 54%
The model gave 54% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 1:05:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterShad
49% · 213 games53% · 135 games
AlchemistCrystallis
Alchemist
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritNine
46% · 66 games50% · 143 games
InvokerNo[o]ne
Invoker
Magnus
MagnusWisper
53% · 121 game55% · 152 games
Dark SeerDM
Dark Seer
Dark Willow
Dark WillowAri
46% · 191 game46% · 301 game
Batrider9Class
Batrider
Clockwerk
ClockwerkxNova
47% · 242 games55% · 102 games
Elder TitanDukalis
Elder Titan
Game 2prediction correct15:24
OG 48%PARIVISION 52%
The model gave 52% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 30:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterShad
50% · 146 games60% · 85 games
BristlebackCrystallis
Bristleback
Beastmaster
BeastmasterWisper
51% · 128 games50% · 116 games
Sand KingDM
Sand King
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainNine
50% · 60 games51% · 132 games
InvokerNo[o]ne
Invoker
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeAri
47% · 116 games47% · 94 games
ChenDukalis
Chen
Clockwerk
ClockwerkxNova
50% · 205 games45% · 228 games
Tusk9Class
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 57%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2