?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 29. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
OGloss 0:2
series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 0:2
REKONIXwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Skem · 24 games
42%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Tims · 24 games
50%
Mars
Marssignature
Force · 22 games
68%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Tims · 21 game
52%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
Force · 20 games
45%
Tusk
Tusk
Tims · 18 games
56%
Chen
Chensignature
Skem · 17 games
71%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Yopaj · 17 games
65%

REKONIX

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 18 games
72%
Tiny
Tiny
inYourdreaM · 15 games
40%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 12 games
17%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
TraVins · 11 games
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 9 games
78%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Varizh · 9 games
44%
Kez
Kezsignature
TraVins · 8 games
75%
Muerta
Muertasignature
dalul · 8 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
642 picks · 695 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
519 picks · 451 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
493 picks · 413 bans
50%
Warlock
Warlock
433 picks · 290 bans
48%
Phoenix
Phoenix
417 picks · 397 bans
55%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
397 picks · 1094 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
391 picks · 836 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
384 picks · 569 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 34%
Hero pool strength51% REKONIX
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total85% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:30
OG 69%REKONIX 31%
The model gave 69% on OG — the game was taken by REKONIX in 38:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tidehunter
TidehunterTORONTOTOKYO
51% · 112 games48% · 255 games
MuertaTraVins
Muerta
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidNatsumi
50% · 46 games49% · 214 games
Sand KinginYourdreaM
Sand King
Pangolier
PangolierYopaj
43% · 154 games50% · 51 game
Night StalkerFbz
Night Stalker
Phoenix
PhoenixSkem
57% · 140 games45% · 73 games
Miranadalul
Mirana
Tusk
TuskTims
43% · 258 games64% · 117 games
Treant ProtectorVarizh
Treant Protector
Game 2prediction missed6:31
OG 70%REKONIX 30%
The model gave 70% on OG — the game was taken by REKONIX in 34:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaNatsumi
46% · 119 games43% · 409 games
TinyTraVins
Tiny
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritYopaj
50% · 447 games51% · 343 games
Ember SpiritinYourdreaM
Ember Spirit
Doom
DoomTORONTOTOKYO
50% · 194 games51% · 228 games
SlardarFbz
Slardar
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonTims
52% · 379 games51% · 82 games
Rubickdalul
Rubick
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorSkem
62% · 140 games46% · 217 games
PhoenixVarizh
Phoenix
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 85%
Series resultREKONIX 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2