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DreamLeague Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
OGwin 2:0
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Spiritloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Jakiro
Jakiro
Kidaro · 32 games
44%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Daze · 29 games
66%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Daze · 29 games
48%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Shad · 23 games
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Stormstormer · 22 games
59%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Stojkov · 22 games
50%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
MikSa` · 22 games
36%
Tusk
Tusk
Daze · 21 game
48%

Team Spirit

Tusk
Tusk
rue · 19 games
58%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Panto · 17 games
59%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Miposhka · 17 games
65%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Larl · 16 games
63%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
rue · 16 games
56%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 16 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
Larl · 16 games
75%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Yatoro · 16 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
774 picks · 356 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
595 picks · 300 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
561 picks · 451 bans
49%
Disruptor
Disruptor
548 picks · 549 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
546 picks · 670 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
513 picks · 306 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
493 picks · 748 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
480 picks · 545 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 70%
Hero pool strength56% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total76% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed49:22
OG 37%Team Spirit 63%
The model gave 63% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by OG in 57:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerNatsumi
46% · 251 game48% · 288 games
TerrorbladeYatoro
Terrorblade
Leshrac
LeshracYopaj
50% · 233 games48% · 188 games
Monkey KingLarl
Monkey King
Slardar
SlardarForce
49% · 207 games49% · 85 games
KunkkaCollapse
Kunkka
Chen
ChenSkem
52% · 181 game55% · 161 game
Muertarue
Muerta
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonTims
53% · 234 games49% · 384 games
JakiroPanto
Jakiro
Game 2prediction missed55:27
OG 34%Team Spirit 66%
The model gave 66% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by OG in 1:02:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetYopaj
54% · 224 games45% · 32 games
LunaYatoro
Luna
Windranger
WindrangerNatsumi
48% · 157 games44% · 226 games
Queen of PainLarl
Queen of Pain
Slardar
SlardarForce
52% · 162 games45% · 151 game
AxeCollapse
Axe
Riki
RikiTims
57% · 27 games49% · 372 games
Ringmasterrue
Ringmaster
Jakiro
JakiroSkem
49% · 366 games57% · 155 games
BanePanto
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 76%
Series resultOG 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2