Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
OGloss 0:2series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Virtus.prowin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
OG
Tiny
Yopaj · 16 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Tims · 15 games
Hoodwink
Tims · 15 games
Pucksignature
Yopaj · 15 games
Windranger
Natsumi · 15 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Skem · 13 games
Dark Seersignature
Force · 12 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Force · 12 games
Virtus.pro
Jakiro
Fly · 27 games
Puckoften banned
Abed · 20 games
Tiny
Hellscream · 20 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Abed · 19 games
Muertaoften banned
Timado · 19 games
Phoenixoften banned
Fly · 17 games
Primal Beastoften banned
SabeRLight- · 17 games
Tidehunteroften banned
SabeRLight- · 17 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
618 picks · 441 bans
Rubick
533 picks · 310 bans
Tiny
416 picks · 396 bans
Pangolier
389 picks · 562 bans
Phoenix
370 picks · 386 bans
Clockwerk
349 picks · 636 bans
Ember Spirit
342 picks · 496 bans
Windranger
341 picks · 237 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 38%
Hero pool strength55% OG
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total64% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:30
OG 58%Virtus.pro 42%
The model gave 58% on OG — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 50:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
NecrophosNatsumi
MuertaTimado
SnapfireYopaj
Centaur WarrunnerSabeRLight-
ViperRaven
PangolierAbed
ChenSkem
BaneFly
TinyTims
Dark WillowHellscream
Game 2prediction missed18:23
OG 59%Virtus.pro 41%
The model gave 59% on OG — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 1:06:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TerrorbladeNatsumi
GyrocopterTimado
BeastmasterRaven
Ember SpiritAbed
Earth SpiritYopaj
LargoSabeRLight-
MiranaSkem
JakiroFly
Dark WillowTims
RubickHellscream
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 64%
Series resultVirtus.pro 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2