Omega Gaming vs Gorillaz-Pride — prediction DPC2—ЮА · Dota 2

arrow_backBack to match

Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3

result vs prediction

Omega Gamingloss 0:2

series probability

53%47%

probability at match start · final 0:2

Gorillaz-Pridewin 2:0

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Omega Gaming

Earth Spirit

Demon · 2 games

50%

Nature's Prophet

Mingatte · 2 games

50%

Tinyoften banned

Demon · 2 games

Treant Protectoroften banned

ShakaLord · 2 games

50%

Ancient Apparitionoften banned

ShakaLord · 1 game

Axe

Mingatte · 1 game

Grimstroke

ShakaLord · 1 game

Hoodwink

Demon · 1 game

Gorillaz-Pride

No games played over 6 months.

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Mars

286 picks · 431 bans

48%

Tidehunter

270 picks · 401 bans

43%

Monkey King

263 picks · 672 bans

60%

Bane

256 picks · 194 bans

58%

Weaver

236 picks · 475 bans

55%

Snapfire

221 picks · 121 bans

48%

Void Spirit

212 picks · 256 bans

44%

Lina

211 picks · 481 bans

52%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%

Hero pool strength51% Gorillaz-Pride

Head-to-head1 – 0

Model total53% Omega Gaming

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction missed24:39

Omega Gaming 51%Gorillaz-Pride 49%

The model gave 51% on Omega Gaming — the game was taken by Gorillaz-Pride in 48:37.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo