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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Omega Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Ravenswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Omega Gaming

Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakersignature
CHAAANNN · 7 games
71%
Mars
Marssignature
Lissex · 6 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Demon · 5 games
60%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Demon · 5 games
40%
Dazzle
Dazzle
CHAAANNN · 4 games
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Demon · 4 games
100%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Mingatte · 4 games
25%
Mirana
Mirana
Demon · 3 games
33%

Ravens

Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
DaaD- · 2 games
0%
Mirana
Mirana
d1smar · 2 games
0%
Bane
Bane
Cara · 1 game
0%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
0%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Cara · 1 game
0%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
Benjaz · 1 game
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 1 game
0%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
468 picks · 275 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
388 picks · 534 bans
55%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
367 picks · 502 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
356 picks · 473 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
308 picks · 475 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
286 picks · 513 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
268 picks · 338 bans
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
268 picks · 189 bans
44%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 64%
Hero pool strength59% Omega Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Omega Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:29
Omega Gaming 53%Ravens 47%
The model gave 53% on Omega Gaming — the game was taken by Ravens in 32:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyMingatte
49% · 264 games51% · 137 games
TerrorbladeDaaD-
Terrorblade
Death Prophet
Death ProphetJeimari
49% · 223 games52% · 151 game
Storm SpiritÑengoflow KELOKE
Storm Spirit
Dark Seer
Dark SeerLissex
50% · 96 games45% · 168 games
Sand KingBenjaz
Sand King
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerCHAAANNN
54% · 30 games53% · 170 games
Miranad1smar
Mirana
Clockwerk
ClockwerkDemon
51% · 148 games49% · 135 games
EnchantressCara
Enchantress
Game 2prediction missed18:31
Omega Gaming 52%Ravens 48%
The model gave 52% on Omega Gaming — the game was taken by Ravens in 32:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Wraith King
Wraith KingMingatte
49% · 228 games52% · 152 games
MedusaDaaD-
Medusa
Batrider
BatriderJeimari
53% · 105 games50% · 206 games
Queen of PainÑengoflow KELOKE
Queen of Pain
Sand King
Sand KingLissex
43% · 120 games53% · 168 games
KunkkaBenjaz
Kunkka
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeCHAAANNN
46% · 264 games50% · 101 game
Earth Spiritd1smar
Earth Spirit
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageDemon
51% · 61 game54% · 151 game
DisruptorCara
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteOmega Gaming · 53%
Series resultRavens 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2