Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Южная Америка. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Omega Gamingloss 0:2series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TRocketwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Omega Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
TRocket
Broodmotheroften banned
Greedy · 3 games
Crystal Maiden
Pamplona · 3 games
Beastmasteroften banned
H1j4ck · 2 games
Enchantress
Pamplona · 2 games
Phantom Lanceroften banned
CarJua · 2 games
Rubick
Pamplona · 2 games
Underlordoften banned
H1j4ck · 2 games
Undyingoften banned
Pamplona · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
782 picks · 529 bans
Tiny
559 picks · 399 bans
Tusk
542 picks · 443 bans
Treant Protector
534 picks · 572 bans
Nature's Prophet
425 picks · 676 bans
Snapfire
400 picks · 291 bans
Death Prophet
389 picks · 749 bans
Ember Spirit
368 picks · 812 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 42%
Hero pool strength52% TRocket
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total65% Omega Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:35
Omega Gaming 65%TRocket 35%
The model gave 65% on Omega Gaming — the game was taken by TRocket in 44:07.
Game 2prediction missed27:15
Omega Gaming 65%TRocket 35%
The model gave 65% on Omega Gaming — the game was taken by TRocket in 25:41.
Model check result
Model favoriteOmega Gaming · 65%
Series resultTRocket 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2