RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO2
result vs prediction
One Movewin 2:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
2 Girls 1 Puckloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
One Move
Hoodwink
queezy · 10 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SSS · 8 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Rein · 8 games
Marsoften banned
SSS · 8 games
Tinyoften banned
Wein · 7 games
Leshracoften banned
xn丶e · 6 games
Morphlingoften banned
nesfeer · 6 games
Phoenix
Panto · 6 games
2 Girls 1 Puck
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
476 picks · 210 bans
Tiny
432 picks · 603 bans
Batrider
391 picks · 737 bans
Centaur Warrunner
381 picks · 531 bans
Rubick
380 picks · 156 bans
Gyrocopter
359 picks · 303 bans
Pangolier
345 picks · 702 bans
Mars
332 picks · 544 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 33%
Hero pool strength57% 2 Girls 1 Puck
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% One Move
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:35
One Move 67%2 Girls 1 Puck 33%
The model gave 67% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move in 42:29.
Game 2prediction correct
One Move 67%2 Girls 1 Puck 33%
The model gave 67% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move.
Model check result
Model favoriteOne Move · 67%
Series resultOne Move 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2