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The International 2022. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
One Moveloss 0:2
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

One Move

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
mellojul · 32 games
63%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
mellojul · 30 games
73%
Mirana
Miranasignature
sayuw · 28 games
82%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
mellojul · 27 games
70%
Bane
Banesignature
Panto · 22 games
73%
Tiny
Tiny
Smiling Knight · 17 games
53%
Mars
Marssignature
AfterLife · 16 games
94%
Undying
Undying
Panto · 16 games
50%

BETBOOM TEAM

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
43%
Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
43%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Bignum · 7 games
43%
Snapfire
Snapfire
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
57%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Dinozavrik · 6 games
33%
Puck
Pucksignature
Ainkrad · 6 games
67%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Cloud · 6 games
50%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Dinozavrik · 5 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
724 picks · 570 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
511 picks · 1027 bans
55%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
480 picks · 631 bans
45%
Marci
Marci
441 picks · 786 bans
52%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
373 picks · 413 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
335 picks · 163 bans
49%
Zeus
Zeus
327 picks · 381 bans
47%
Razor
Razor
310 picks · 590 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 70%
Hero pool strength62% One Move
Head-to-head1 – 4
Model total65% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:5
One Move 35%BETBOOM TEAM 65%
The model gave 65% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 33:21.
Game 2prediction correct13:32
One Move 35%BETBOOM TEAM 65%
The model gave 65% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 41:21.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 65%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2