?
arrow_backBack to match
RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
One Moveloss 1:2
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Dandelionswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

One Move

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
queezy · 10 games
30%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SSS · 8 games
38%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Rein · 8 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
SSS · 8 games
25%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Wein · 7 games
14%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
xn丶e · 6 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
nesfeer · 6 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Panto · 6 games
17%

Dandelions

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
489 picks · 218 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
435 picks · 638 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
419 picks · 726 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
408 picks · 581 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
404 picks · 363 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
391 picks · 164 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
375 picks · 799 bans
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
343 picks · 959 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 42%
Hero pool strength57% Dandelions
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total52% One Move
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:44
One Move 52%Dandelions 48%
The model gave 52% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move in 41:04.
Game 2prediction missed6:31
One Move 52%Dandelions 48%
The model gave 52% on One Move — the game was taken by Dandelions in 31:37.
Game 3prediction missed20:40
One Move 52%Dandelions 48%
The model gave 52% on One Move — the game was taken by Dandelions in 48:12.
Model check result
Model favoriteOne Move · 52%
Series resultDandelions 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3