CCT Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
One Moveloss 1:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Jigglinwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
One Move
Pangolieroften banned
Difference · 28 games
Marcisignature
not me · 22 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Difference · 21 game
Doomsignature
SSS · 17 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Difference · 17 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
WoE · 16 games
Snapfiresignature
not me · 16 games
Batrideroften banned
not me · 15 games
Jigglin
Batridersignature
Lelis · 8 games
Earth Spiritsignature
Copy · 7 games
Tusksignature
Se · 6 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
423 · 5 games
Muerta
Lelis · 5 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Se · 5 games
Meepooften banned
423 · 4 games
Razoroften banned
423 · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
480 picks · 414 bans
Clockwerk
434 picks · 574 bans
Lion
428 picks · 228 bans
Batrider
424 picks · 540 bans
Gyrocopter
418 picks · 732 bans
Phoenix
412 picks · 490 bans
Pangolier
366 picks · 589 bans
Beastmaster
356 picks · 930 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 58%
Hero pool strength60% Jigglin
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Jigglin
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed55:60
One Move 47%Jigglin 53%
The model gave 53% on Jigglin — the game was taken by One Move in 1:31:39.
Game 2prediction correct13:37
One Move 47%Jigglin 53%
The model gave 53% on Jigglin — the game was taken by Jigglin in 40:01.
Game 3prediction correct14:32
One Move 47%Jigglin 53%
The model gave 53% on Jigglin — the game was taken by Jigglin in 34:47.
Model check result
Model favoriteJigglin · 53%
Series resultJigglin 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3