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CCT Season 2 Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
One Moveloss 0:2
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

One Move

Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
SSS · 26 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Eyesight · 22 games
36%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Difference · 22 games
27%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Difference · 21 game
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Difference · 19 games
37%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Bb3px · 18 games
28%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Bb3px · 18 games
44%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Difference · 18 games
28%

Nemiga Gaming

Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 14 games
29%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
bashka · 11 games
18%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Covisnine · 9 games
67%
Windranger
Windranger
xsvampire · 8 games
25%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
young G · 7 games
43%
Muerta
Muerta
Shishak · 7 games
29%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 7 games
29%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
спортик · 7 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
530 picks · 594 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
480 picks · 242 bans
52%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
437 picks · 476 bans
56%
Jakiro
Jakiro
422 picks · 354 bans
46%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
395 picks · 843 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
385 picks · 367 bans
48%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
373 picks · 547 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
362 picks · 536 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 48%
Hero pool strength54% One Move
Head-to-head7 – 0
Model total63% One Move
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
One Move 63%Nemiga Gaming 37%
The model gave 63% on One Move — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Game 2prediction missed
One Move 63%Nemiga Gaming 37%
The model gave 63% on One Move — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteOne Move · 63%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2