BetBoom Xmas Show · BO3
result vs prediction
One Moveloss 1:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:2
PuckChampwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
One Move
Tiny
sayuw · 20 games
Mirana
Panto · 15 games
Pangoliersignature
mellojul · 14 games
Timbersawoften banned
AfterLife · 13 games
Chensignature
Panto · 11 games
Tusksignature
Ainkrad · 11 games
Hoodwink
sayuw · 10 games
Marcisignature
sayuw · 10 games
PuckChamp
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
371 picks · 351 bans
Tusk
335 picks · 317 bans
Marci
266 picks · 501 bans
Pangolier
250 picks · 572 bans
Undying
248 picks · 459 bans
Primal Beast
236 picks · 600 bans
Snapfire
220 picks · 127 bans
Shadow Fiend
217 picks · 353 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 57%
Hero pool strength55% One Move
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% One Move
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:41
One Move 56%PuckChamp 44%
The model gave 56% on One Move — the game was taken by PuckChamp in 42:17.
Game 2prediction correct48:34
One Move 56%PuckChamp 44%
The model gave 56% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move in 52:12.
Game 3prediction missed22:46
One Move 56%PuckChamp 44%
The model gave 56% on One Move — the game was taken by PuckChamp in 53:32.
Model check result
Model favoriteOne Move · 56%
Series resultPuckChamp 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3