BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
One Movewin 2:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TNTeam N1ntendoloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
One Move
Ember Spiritsignature
Squad1x · 15 games
Gyrocoptersignature
WoE · 15 games
Pangolieroften banned
SSS · 15 games
Jakiro
Rein · 12 games
Windrangeroften banned
WoE · 12 games
Clockwerksignature
Rein · 11 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SSS · 10 games
Doomsignature
SSS · 10 games
Team N1ntendo
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
350 picks · 259 bans
Rubick
349 picks · 337 bans
Hoodwink
347 picks · 402 bans
Pangolier
326 picks · 498 bans
Snapfire
297 picks · 263 bans
Sven
292 picks · 305 bans
Windranger
282 picks · 392 bans
Dragon Knight
280 picks · 453 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% Team N1ntendo
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total69% One Move
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:13
One Move 69%Team N1ntendo 31%
The model gave 69% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move in 39:35.
Game 2prediction correct12:34
One Move 69%Team N1ntendo 31%
The model gave 69% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move in 33:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteOne Move · 69%
Series resultOne Move 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2