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PGL Wallachia Season 2. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
One Moveloss 1:2
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Vrooomy.iowin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

One Move

Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
WoE · 16 games
56%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
SSS · 14 games
36%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Squad1x · 12 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
SSS · 12 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Rein · 11 games
36%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SSS · 10 games
10%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Rein · 10 games
70%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Rein · 9 games
33%

Vrooomy.io

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
414 picks · 318 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
412 picks · 442 bans
54%
Weaver
Weaver
393 picks · 826 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
383 picks · 882 bans
53%
Phoenix
Phoenix
361 picks · 715 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
357 picks · 508 bans
47%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
345 picks · 486 bans
55%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
303 picks · 534 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 67%
Hero pool strength53% Vrooomy.io
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% One Move
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:28
One Move 64%Vrooomy.io 36%
The model gave 64% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move in 32:12.
Game 2prediction missed
One Move 64%Vrooomy.io 36%
The model gave 64% on One Move — the game was taken by Vrooomy.io.
Game 3prediction missed
One Move 64%Vrooomy.io 36%
The model gave 64% on One Move — the game was taken by Vrooomy.io.
Model check result
Model favoriteOne Move · 64%
Series resultVrooomy.io 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3