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DreamLeague Season 23 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
One Movewin 1:0
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Yellow Submarineloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

One Move

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
queezy · 7 games
14%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Panto · 6 games
17%
Lion
Lion
Gilgir · 5 games
40%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
chempik · 4 games
25%
Mars
Marsoften banned
AfterLife · 4 games
25%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
chempik · 4 games
25%
Pudge
Pudgeoften banned
chempik · 4 games
50%
Techies
Techies
Xakoda · 4 games
25%

Yellow Submarine

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
pJonn · 19 games
58%
Mars
Marsoften banned
emptiness · 13 games
46%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Satanic · 13 games
62%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
rue · 11 games
27%
Luna
Luna
Satanic · 11 games
45%
Tusk
Tusk
aik · 11 games
45%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
erase · 10 games
30%
Rubick
Rubick
rue · 10 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
379 picks · 352 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
361 picks · 577 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
349 picks · 534 bans
55%
Techies
Techies
346 picks · 273 bans
53%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
344 picks · 335 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
329 picks · 671 bans
57%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
319 picks · 191 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
309 picks · 316 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 58%
Hero pool strength56% Yellow Submarine
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Yellow Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
One Move 33%Yellow Submarine 67%
The model gave 67% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by One Move.
Model check result
Model favoriteYellow Submarine · 67%
Series resultOne Move 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1