BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO2
result vs predictionOOsmiumloss 0:2
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team DogChampwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Osmium
Chaos Knightoften banned
Mnz · 2 games
Bane
Mjz · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
drakeel · 1 game
Dragon Knightoften banned
drakeel · 1 game
Iooften banned
sl4d1n- · 1 game
Juggernaut
Mnz · 1 game
Lion
Mjz · 1 game
Marsoften banned
drakeel · 1 game
Team DogChamp
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 12 games
Pangolieroften banned
lukiluki · 12 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 10 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
StoneBank · 10 games
Bane
Bloody Nine · 8 games
Hoodwink
yarintheslayer · 8 games
Phantom Lanceroften banned
StoneBank · 7 games
Shadow Shaman
yarintheslayer · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
457 picks · 281 bans
Mars
449 picks · 611 bans
Tiny
410 picks · 478 bans
Sand King
372 picks · 495 bans
Death Prophet
363 picks · 780 bans
Ember Spirit
341 picks · 516 bans
Storm Spirit
322 picks · 494 bans
Pangolier
318 picks · 468 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 16%
Hero pool strength52% Osmium
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Osmium
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteOsmium · 57%
Series resultTeam DogChamp 0:2
Series predictionmissed