CCT Season 2 Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
OxinGameloss 0:2series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Inner Circlewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
OxinGame
No games played over 6 months.
Inner Circle
Hoodwink
Fernans · 15 games
Marsoften banned
Norma · 11 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Norma · 9 games
Tusk
Fernans · 9 games
Warlock
flacko · 9 games
Disruptorsignature
flacko · 7 games
Sven
yowaai · 7 games
Pugnaoften banned
Fernans · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
550 picks · 278 bans
Disruptor
494 picks · 504 bans
Puck
373 picks · 1024 bans
Pugna
336 picks · 383 bans
Hoodwink
323 picks · 156 bans
Warlock
323 picks · 150 bans
Mars
322 picks · 539 bans
Earthshaker
310 picks · 504 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 35%
Hero pool strength56% OxinGame
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Inner Circle
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:42
OxinGame 44%Inner Circle 56%
The model gave 56% on Inner Circle — the game was taken by Inner Circle in 30:18.
Game 2prediction correct
OxinGame 44%Inner Circle 56%
The model gave 56% on Inner Circle — the game was taken by Inner Circle.
Model check result
Model favoriteInner Circle · 56%
Series resultInner Circle 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2