PGL Wallachia Season 6. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
OxinGamewin 2:0series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
WHWards Heroes Towersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
OxinGame
No games played over 6 months.
Wards Heroes Towers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
372 picks · 339 bans
Puck
340 picks · 849 bans
Snapfire
326 picks · 165 bans
Pugna
292 picks · 336 bans
Dawnbreaker
282 picks · 787 bans
Tusk
281 picks · 247 bans
Warlock
278 picks · 126 bans
Batrider
273 picks · 687 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% OxinGame
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Wards Heroes Towers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
OxinGame 47%Wards Heroes Towers 53%
The model gave 53% on Wards Heroes Towers — the game was taken by OxinGame.
Game 2prediction missed
OxinGame 47%Wards Heroes Towers 53%
The model gave 53% on Wards Heroes Towers — the game was taken by OxinGame.
Model check result
Model favoriteWards Heroes Towers · 53%
Series resultOxinGame 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2