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DreamLeague Season 28 · BO2
result vs prediction
paiN Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
6%94%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

paiN Gaming

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
DarkMago · 2 games
50%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
DarkMago · 2 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Elmisho · 1 game
100%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Frank · 1 game
0%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Elmisho · 1 game
0%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
Parker · 1 game
0%
Largo
Largooften banned
Frank · 1 game
0%
Lifestealer
Lifestealer
Smiling Knight · 1 game
100%

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 45 games
60%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 25 games
64%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 24 games
54%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 24 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kataomi · 23 games
57%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 23 games
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 19 games
79%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 19 games
42%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
622 picks · 969 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
511 picks · 434 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
459 picks · 624 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
437 picks · 1001 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
430 picks · 474 bans
47%
Warlock
Warlock
426 picks · 261 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
422 picks · 510 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
401 picks · 555 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 61%
Hero pool strength56% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total94% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:39
paiN Gaming 19%BETBOOM TEAM 81%
The model gave 81% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 34:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaSmiling Knight
50% · 83 games53% · 58 games
RazorKiritych
Razor
Viper
ViperDarkMago
44% · 70 games50% · 252 games
PuckgpK~
Puck
Bristleback
BristlebackFrank
50% · 128 games71% · 3 games
Legion CommanderMieRo
Legion Commander
Phoenix
PhoenixElmisho
51% · 114 games51% · 126 games
MuertaSave-
Muerta
Clockwerk
ClockwerkScofield
40% · 82 games61% · 38 games
Treant ProtectorKataomi
Treant Protector
Game 2prediction correct24:44
paiN Gaming 19%BETBOOM TEAM 81%
The model gave 81% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 42:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Underlord
UnderlordFrank
60% · 238 games46% · 392 games
GyrocopterKiritych
Gyrocopter
Weaver
WeaverSmiling Knight
48% · 158 games44% · 420 games
BeastmastergpK~
Beastmaster
Tiny
TinyDarkMago
50% · 594 games44% · 191 game
KunkkaMieRo
Kunkka
Jakiro
JakiroElmisho
49% · 670 games54% · 407 games
Shadow DemonSave-
Shadow Demon
Snapfire
SnapfireScofield
56% · 368 games47% · 618 games
TuskKataomi
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 94%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2