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DreamLeague Season 24 · BO2
result vs prediction
Palianytsialoss 0:2
series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Looking for Orgwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Palianytsia

Luna
Lunasignature
Crystallize · 16 games
69%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Moonlight · 15 games
47%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
QBFY · 14 games
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
QBFY · 14 games
57%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
kreker · 10 games
30%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
QBFY · 10 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
fortniteMan · 9 games
56%
Omniknight
Omniknightsignature
kreker · 8 games
75%

Looking for Org

Mars
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 15 games
40%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Matthew · 13 games
54%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Yadomi · 12 games
42%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Mnz · 12 games
33%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Sacred · 9 games
56%
Luna
Lunasignature
Mnz · 9 games
67%
Omniknight
Omniknightoften banned
Yadomi · 8 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Matthew · 8 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
352 picks · 475 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
351 picks · 323 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
325 picks · 459 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
303 picks · 591 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
294 picks · 162 bans
49%
Luna
Luna
281 picks · 337 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
263 picks · 431 bans
48%
Batrider
Batrider
242 picks · 234 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 52%
Hero pool strength52% Palianytsia
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% Looking for Org
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct11:35
Palianytsia 39%Looking for Org 61%
The model gave 61% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Looking for Org in 37:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawfortniteMan
50% · 254 games52% · 231 game
BeastmasterSacred
Beastmaster
Morphling
MorphlingCrystallize
50% · 318 games52% · 186 games
Alchemistpayk
Alchemist
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMoonlight
59% · 240 games45% · 464 games
PangolierDarkMago
Pangolier
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonQBFY
54% · 333 games43% · 293 games
TuskMatthew
Tusk
Clockwerk
Clockwerkkreker
50% · 391 game46% · 362 games
EnchantressYadomi
Enchantress
Game 2prediction correct27:39
Palianytsia 38%Looking for Org 62%
The model gave 62% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Looking for Org in 37:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistCrystallize
49% · 132 games40% · 171 game
Razorpayk
Razor
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMoonlight
57% · 163 games49% · 110 games
ZeusDarkMago
Zeus
Doom
DoomfortniteMan
50% · 221 game49% · 114 games
Sand KingSacred
Sand King
Lion
Lionkreker
57% · 185 games42% · 172 games
TuskYadomi
Tusk
Leshrac
LeshracQBFY
52% · 170 games55% · 304 games
BatriderMatthew
Batrider
Model check result
Model favoriteLooking for Org · 73%
Series resultLooking for Org 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2