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CCT Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Palianytsialoss 0:2
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Palianytsia

Luna
Lunasignature
Crystallize · 18 games
61%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Moonlight · 17 games
41%
Snapfire
Snapfire
QBFY · 17 games
47%
Leshrac
Leshrac
QBFY · 16 games
50%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
kreker · 13 games
23%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
QBFY · 13 games
38%
Lion
Lion
kreker · 13 games
23%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
fortniteMan · 12 games
42%

Nemiga Gaming

Snapfire
Snapfire
Shishak · 17 games
59%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
jesv · 16 games
56%
Rubick
Rubick
jesv · 16 games
31%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
nicky`cool · 14 games
29%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
aik · 13 games
46%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Shishak · 13 games
38%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
aik · 12 games
58%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
nicky`cool · 12 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
490 picks · 670 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
420 picks · 470 bans
53%
Luna
Luna
359 picks · 457 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
359 picks · 538 bans
49%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
334 picks · 177 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
325 picks · 418 bans
51%
Enchantress
Enchantress
322 picks · 657 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
305 picks · 315 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 23%
Hero pool strength51% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total50% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:39
Palianytsia 50%Nemiga Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on Palianytsia — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 34:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetCrystallize
47% · 105 games50% · 382 games
Pangolierряф^^
Pangolier
Lycan
LycanfortniteMan
44% · 36 games51% · 42 games
DawnbreakerMiyaoo
Dawnbreaker
Primal Beast
Primal BeastMoonlight
48% · 318 games50% · 352 games
RubickShishak
Rubick
Tiny
Tinykreker
51% · 374 games57% · 241 game
Clockwerkantoha
Clockwerk
Jakiro
Jakirodark
49% · 184 games
Game 2prediction missed25:48
Palianytsia 51%Nemiga Gaming 49%
The model gave 51% on Palianytsia — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 36:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerCrystallize
57% · 51 game49% · 110 games
Invokerряф^^
Invoker
Lina
LinaMoonlight
50% · 86 games48% · 346 games
PangolierMiyaoo
Pangolier
Axe
AxefortniteMan
46% · 16 games49% · 160 games
LionShishak
Lion
Rubick
Rubickkreker
51% · 254 games43% · 21 game
Dazzleantoha
Dazzle
Clockwerk
Clockwerkdark
54% · 230 games
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 50%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2