DreamLeague Season 24. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Palianytsiawin 2:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Vvengaboyzloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Palianytsia
Snapfire
QBFY · 7 games
Primal Beastoften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 4 games
Tuskoften banned
kreker · 4 games
Doomoften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 3 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Moonlight · 3 games
Kunkkaoften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 3 games
Omniknightoften banned
kreker · 3 games
Leshracoften banned
QBFY · 2 games
vengaboyz
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
349 picks · 259 bans
Rubick
343 picks · 331 bans
Hoodwink
337 picks · 387 bans
Pangolier
331 picks · 483 bans
Snapfire
310 picks · 266 bans
Sven
290 picks · 303 bans
Dragon Knight
288 picks · 446 bans
Enchantress
286 picks · 474 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 56%
Hero pool strength57% Palianytsia
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Palianytsia
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Palianytsia 67%vengaboyz 33%
The model gave 67% on Palianytsia — the game was taken by Palianytsia.
Game 2prediction correct
Palianytsia 67%vengaboyz 33%
The model gave 67% on Palianytsia — the game was taken by Palianytsia.
Model check result
Model favoritePalianytsia · 67%
Series resultPalianytsia 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2