CCT Series 3 · BO3
result vs predictionPPantheonloss 0:1
series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Hydrawin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Pantheon
No games played over 6 months.
Hydra
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
DkFogas · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Dominic · 1 game
Enigmaoften banned
Dominic · 1 game
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
NattyNarwhal · 1 game
Shadow Demonoften banned
xsvampire · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
438 picks · 370 bans
Hoodwink
399 picks · 447 bans
Tiny
387 picks · 874 bans
Weaver
384 picks · 823 bans
Phoenix
370 picks · 768 bans
Pangolier
356 picks · 501 bans
Clockwerk
335 picks · 505 bans
Jakiro
332 picks · 249 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 44%
Hero pool strength51% Pantheon
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Pantheon 32%Hydra 68%
The model gave 68% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra.
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 68%
Series resultHydra 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1