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Игры Будущего 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Paper Tigerswin 2:1
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Legends Rebootedloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Paper Tigers

Juggernaut
Juggernaut
Cty · 3 games
67%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Op · 3 games
33%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Freeze · 2 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
7e · 2 games
0%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Freeze · 2 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
Op · 2 games
50%
Venomancer
Venomancer
BurNIng · 2 games
50%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Cty · 1 game
0%

Legends Rebooted

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Hao · 2 games
0%
Tusk
Tusk
Mushi · 2 games
0%
Chen
Chenoften banned
ChuaN · 1 game
0%
Doom
Doomoften banned
ELeVeN · 1 game
0%
Juggernaut
Juggernaut
Hao · 1 game
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Dstones · 1 game
0%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Dstones · 1 game
0%
Warlock
Warlock
ChuaN · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
776 picks · 359 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
613 picks · 305 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
592 picks · 529 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
584 picks · 728 bans
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
554 picks · 550 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
547 picks · 332 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
510 picks · 765 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
509 picks · 587 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 33%
Hero pool strength56% Paper Tigers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Paper Tigers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:35
Paper Tigers 56%Legends Rebooted 44%
The model gave 56% on Paper Tigers — the game was taken by Legends Rebooted in 41:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingCty
42% · 177 games48% · 216 games
UrsaHao
Ursa
Tiny
Tiny7e
46% · 312 games60% · 138 games
EnigmaELeVeN
Enigma
Doom
DoomFreeze
47% · 177 games46% · 325 games
Storm SpiritDstones
Storm Spirit
Windranger
WindrangerOp
53% · 109 games51% · 187 games
PugnaMushi
Pugna
Enchantress
EnchantressBurNIng
55% · 138 games56% · 47 games
Spirit BreakerChuaN
Spirit Breaker
Game 2prediction correct39:14
Paper Tigers 57%Legends Rebooted 43%
The model gave 57% on Paper Tigers — the game was taken by Paper Tigers in 28:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeCty
51% · 329 games51% · 78 games
AlchemistHao
Alchemist
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet7e
51% · 218 games49% · 73 games
RazorDstones
Razor
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerFreeze
51% · 224 games57% · 371 game
BristlebackELeVeN
Bristleback
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterOp
47% · 373 games48% · 493 games
TinyChuaN
Tiny
Disruptor
DisruptorBurNIng
44% · 188 games50% · 317 games
Shadow DemonMushi
Shadow Demon
Game 3prediction correct29:11
Paper Tigers 56%Legends Rebooted 44%
The model gave 56% on Paper Tigers — the game was taken by Paper Tigers in 23:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight7e
51% · 381 game48% · 180 games
Templar AssassinHao
Templar Assassin
Slardar
SlardarFreeze
57% · 185 games45% · 251 game
Queen of PainDstones
Queen of Pain
Abaddon
AbaddonCty
51% · 319 games49% · 254 games
MarsELeVeN
Mars
Venomancer
VenomancerBurNIng
51% · 72 games45% · 78 games
Skywrath MageChuaN
Skywrath Mage
Windranger
WindrangerOp
50% · 127 games53% · 321 game
BatriderMushi
Batrider
Model check result
Model favoritePaper Tigers · 62%
Series resultPaper Tigers 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3