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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
PARI PARNIloss 0:2
series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARI PARNI

No games played over 6 months.

BETBOOM TEAM

Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
fn · 10 games
80%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
7jesu · 10 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Bignum · 9 games
78%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Petushara · 8 games
75%
Bane
Banesignature
Bignum · 7 games
86%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
522 picks · 448 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
459 picks · 682 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
429 picks · 544 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
405 picks · 286 bans
58%
Pangolier
Pangolier
354 picks · 594 bans
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
344 picks · 562 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 629 bans
47%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knight
332 picks · 651 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 63%
Hero pool strength58% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct41:9
PARI PARNI 28%BETBOOM TEAM 72%
The model gave 72% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 41:14.
Game 2prediction correct28:23
PARI PARNI 28%BETBOOM TEAM 72%
The model gave 72% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 43:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 72%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2