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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
series probability
98%2%
probability at match start · final 2:0
4ikibamboniloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Slardar
Slardarsignature
SSS · 28 games
64%
Kez
Kezsignature
Satanic · 27 games
78%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 25 games
68%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 24 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 23 games
83%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
9Class · 22 games
82%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 21 game
62%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Satanic · 18 games
61%

4ikibamboni

Tusk
Tusksignature
waveformn · 10 games
60%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
yowaai · 9 games
44%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Ankou · 8 games
25%
Viper
Vipersignature
Ethereal · 8 games
88%
Bane
Bane
ani-san · 7 games
29%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakersignature
Ankou · 7 games
71%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
waveformn · 7 games
71%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
waveformn · 7 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
641 picks · 443 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
592 picks · 334 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
465 picks · 549 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
458 picks · 659 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
424 picks · 369 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
353 picks · 512 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
348 picks · 401 bans
47%
Puck
Puck
335 picks · 1020 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 60%
Hero pool strength58% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total98% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:8
PARIVISION 86%4ikibamboni 14%
The model gave 86% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 30:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezSatanic
48% · 98 games52% · 70 games
Medusayowaai
Medusa
Leshrac
LeshracNo[o]ne
43% · 131 game50% · 54 games
HuskarEthereal
Huskar
Doom
DoomNoticed
57% · 151 game57% · 191 game
BatriderAnkou
Batrider
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeDukalis
42% · 42 games49% · 101 game
Marciwaveformn
Marci
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light9Class
42% · 90 games56% · 96 games
Treant Protectorani-san
Treant Protector
Game 2prediction correct38:19
PARIVISION 86%4ikibamboni 14%
The model gave 86% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 35:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezSatanic
48% · 240 games51% · 202 games
Shadow Fiendyowaai
Shadow Fiend
Invoker
InvokerNo[o]ne
48% · 202 games53% · 238 games
Ember SpiritEthereal
Ember Spirit
Batrider
BatriderNoticed
51% · 377 games52% · 117 games
DoomAnkou
Doom
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit9Class
47% · 53 games42% · 134 games
Rubickani-san
Rubick
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeDukalis
59% · 115 games47% · 296 games
Tuskwaveformn
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 98%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2