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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO1
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONloss 0:1
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Aurora Gamingwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 20 games
80%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 18 games
56%
Razor
Razorsignature
Crystallis · 17 games
76%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
DM · 16 games
63%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 16 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
DM · 16 games
63%
Chen
Chensignature
Dukalis · 15 games
80%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
9Class · 15 games
67%

Aurora Gaming

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Q · 16 games
50%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Jabz · 16 games
69%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
TA2000 · 14 games
36%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Q · 12 games
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Abed · 12 games
75%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Malady · 12 games
75%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Q · 12 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Abed · 12 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
480 picks · 419 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
437 picks · 538 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
437 picks · 566 bans
54%
Lion
Lion
436 picks · 231 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
433 picks · 510 bans
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
423 picks · 757 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
373 picks · 587 bans
46%
Tiny
Tiny
368 picks · 421 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 57%
Hero pool strength59% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:36
PARIVISION 65%Aurora Gaming 35%
The model gave 65% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 51:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightSatanic
43% · 433 games59% · 197 games
BristlebackPalos
Bristleback
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinNo[o]ne
47% · 222 games53% · 444 games
TinyAbed
Tiny
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerDM
45% · 252 games55% · 210 games
TerrorbladeJabz
Terrorblade
Zeus
ZeusDukalis
46% · 104 games50% · 362 games
ClockwerkQ
Clockwerk
Muerta
Muerta9Class
48% · 305 games52% · 103 games
LichOli
Lich
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 77%
Series resultAurora Gaming 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1