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BLAST Slam III · BO1
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 1:0
series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Aurora Gamingloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Satanic · 26 games
85%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
DM · 25 games
60%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 25 games
68%
Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 24 games
75%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 24 games
75%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
DM · 24 games
71%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
Satanic · 24 games
75%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
No[o]ne · 21 game
62%

Aurora Gaming

Jakiro
Jakiro
Panto · 20 games
55%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
TA2000 · 19 games
42%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Nightfall · 17 games
59%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Mira · 17 games
65%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Jabz · 15 games
60%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Nightfall · 15 games
47%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
kiyotaka · 14 games
36%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 14 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
452 picks · 659 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
432 picks · 419 bans
53%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
347 picks · 715 bans
52%
Bristleback
Bristleback
319 picks · 632 bans
55%
Muerta
Muerta
312 picks · 183 bans
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
309 picks · 507 bans
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
300 picks · 600 bans
52%
Warlock
Warlock
295 picks · 272 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 53%
Hero pool strength60% PARIVISION
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total81% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:24
PARIVISION 68%Aurora Gaming 32%
The model gave 68% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 48:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeSatanic
41% · 257 games47% · 413 games
TinyNightfall
Tiny
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritNo[o]ne
47% · 285 games57% · 187 games
Morphlingkiyotaka
Morphling
Dark Seer
Dark SeerDM
54% · 152 games50% · 193 games
MagnusTORONTOTOKYO
Magnus
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light9Class
47% · 82 games56% · 105 games
Ancient ApparitionPanto
Ancient Apparition
Warlock
WarlockDukalis
46% · 171 game58% · 49 games
RikiMira
Riki
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 81%
Series resultPARIVISION 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1